30 Teams, 30 Haiku: My 2025 Baseball Preview

Spring has sprung! Granted, the Cubs and Dodgers already kicked off the '25 regular season in Japan on St. Patrick's Day, but really everything begins in earnest on March 27th (which is still too early). I'm guardedly optimistic about my Royals after a surprise playoff run last year, but after only three playoff appearances since Reagan was president, any October ball is frosting on the cake. Regardless, I intend to catch a bunch of minor league games this year, both out of state and at 35th and Shields. 

*notes wild card

NL EAST

1. Braves. Keep Sale away from/the scissors; if healthy, look/out; depth is crucial.

2. Mets.* Juan puzzle piece from/contention; Kodai moments/few and far between.

3. Phillies. High-paid vets rack up/K's; Trea's summer fade hinders/consistent roster.

4. Nationals. Lack of impact guys/curbs youngsters' growth spurt; will Gore/ever be an ace?

5. Marlins. Another fishy/fire sale; Sandy, Weathers/squandered; sixty wins.

NL CENTRAL

1. Cubs. Talent on paper/hasn't done much; Tucker must/rake or Hoyer's toast.

2. Brewers. Good farm system fuels/Crew; lack of power, bullpen/questions still persist.

3. Reds. Tito's handmade crew/new faces takes burden off/Jeimer and Elly.

4. Pirates. Skenes leads sneaky-good/rotation; offense too soft/to really threaten.

5. Cardinals. Expect another/slog; transition to Chaim/won't start with "mazel!"

NL WEST

1. Dodgers. Too rich, too gifted/to fail; stud rotation can/withstand injuries.

2. Padres*. Ownership dispute/is slightly more compelling/than this good roster.

3. D-Backs*. Yet another west/team with great pitching; maybe/move to the Central?

4. Giants. No one is hitting/30 jacks here; another/pitching-first lineup.

5. Rockies. High altitude, low/bar to clear; the sole Victor/is pitcher Vodnik.

AL EAST

1. Yankees. Low ERA arms/cover Cole's absence; Volpe/breakout, overdue.

2. Orioles*. Potent young bats cool/off in the fall; with Burnes gone/who is the ace here?

3. Red Sox*. Bregman seizes hot/corner; Roman (Anthony)/empire rises.

4. Rays. Minor league park means/short fence dingers; too bad their/bats are Triple-A.

5. Blue Jays. Vlad Junior can't score/by himself; aged rotation/stopgap for rebuild.

AL CENTRAL

1. Guardians. Kwan, Jose set the/offense tone; if Williams/stays healthy, watch out!

2. Royals*. Witt, Pasquatch, Salvy/...then a drop-off. India/inked to upgrade bats.

3. Tigers. Can Gleyber adjust/to deep new digs? Young SPs/make these kitties purr.

4. Twins. On paper, righties/fear this lineup; injuries/give fans deja vu.

5. White Sox. Fifty wins is not/impossible; low Rate of/sudden turnaround.

AL WEST

1. Rangers. Texas-size IL/looks all clear (for now); will we/ever see deGrom?

2. Astros. More with less, again/good young arms hope Alvarez/stays healthy all year.

3. Mariners. J-Rod must find his/sea legs after down year; can/other bats Raleigh?

4. Angels. Another so-so/rotation abrades weary/Trout's move to DH.

5. Athletics. Unhomed pachyderms/Rooker, Butler will score runs/in... Sacramento?

AL MVP: Bobby Witt Jr, Royals

NL MVP: Shohei Ohtani, Dodgers

AL Cy Young: Tarik Skubal, Tigers

NL Cy Young: Zack Wheeler, Phillies

AL ROY: Roman Anthony, Red Sox

NL ROY: Roki Sasaki, Dodgers

First Manager Fired: Ron Washington, Angels

2025 World Series: Dodgers over Guardians in 5

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Take Me Out of the Ballgame

WARNING: yet another sports post

As a regular attendee of minor league baseball games, I am observing with curiosity and trepidation how MLB and MiLB devise a plan for mass contraction. The proposal of folding 42 teams is drastic, but sadly necessary. Baseball is a sport at a crossroads, and shaving a little off the bottom is just one problem it needs to address.

Let's begin with the obvious: Minor League Baseball is massive to the point of unwieldy. All 30 Major League Baseball teams have at least six minor league affiliates. Teams in the four highest levels (Triple-A, Double-A, High-A, Single-A) are practically mandatory are development reasons, but some teams forgo or choose between the lower levels (Low/Short Season A, Rookie League). There's about 200 teams in all, spread all across the United States and Vancouver, BC, with each league mostly confined to a particular region. The higher you go in a team's farm system, the incremental likelihood that you'll make it to the Majors.

One pattern I've noticed is that the higher the MiLB affiliate, the larger the city. Just about major American city you can think of that doesn't have a major league team (Las Vegas, Nashville, Buffalo, etc.) has a Double- or Triple-A team. Going into 2020, New Orleans and Portland, OR will be largest without any affiliated baseball at all --there are teams in nearby cities-- but that might change soon. That also means the low minors are typically in small towns and more rural areas; I doubt people are going out of their way to see the brightest young prospects in, say, Johnson City, TN or Bluefield, VA.

Even though the low minors offer some cost-effective summer entertainment with minimal travel, they work on a flawed business model. The stadiums they play in are often small, decrepit, or both and there's just enough money from local government to make small renovations. For instance, the Beloit Snappers (the Oakland A's Single-A team) play in rusty, outmoded Pohlman Field. The park is in the middle of a subdivision, which prohibits any expansion. Attempts to build a new stadium in downtown Beloit have failed repeatedly. Despite the team's proximity to Madison, WI the ballpark is the second-smallest in the league (allegedly 3,500 capacity) and frequently in the bottom five for attendance. Even when the Snappers fielded a competitive team, late season tickets and concession items were often offered for 50% off. I openly wondered how this whole thing turns a profit.

I have made the 90-minute drive to Pohlman Field on three occasions. On my first trip, I was astonished by how the basic the stadium felt compared to others in the Midwest League. Pohlman looks and feels like a run-down YMCA. Over 80% of the seats are aluminum bleachers, and players and coaches are obligated to cross the concourse to go to the barn-like clubhouse. The upgrades that other minor league ballparks have received, including clubhouses under the stands, in have been glossed over in Beloit largely for financial reasons. Unfortunately, there is reason to speculate that the Snappers and their similarly woebegone rival the Burlington Bees (Angels' Single-A) will be among the 42 contracted.

A saturation of pro baseball is an emerging problem. MLB attendance is both decreasing and getting older. Tickets are too expensive for the average fan --blame all those ridiculous contracts-- and a lot of people prefer minor league games because they're way more cost-effective (myself included). However, the price doesn't increase much as you climb through the system. For instance, box seats for the Single-A Kane County Cougars cost two dollars less than similar seats at a Triple-A Indianapolis Indians game. Both can be purchased for under $20. Considering an average Indians player is a lot closer to Major League ready than that Cougars player, the economics are bit wonky. It doesn't help that the average MiLB player makes a paltry income; only a select few top prospects get plump contract bonuses.

What becomes of independent and non-affiliated professional baseball? That aspect is oddly feast or famine. Like their minor league brethren, pro teams without an MiLB designation are faring better in larger metropolitan areas than in more rural, isolated areas. Indie ball is also more serendipitous, with teams folding, merging, and moving almost annually. Without that MLB parent money, the indie teams pay for their own players, and tend to lose money almost on travel alone. It's possible that some soon-to-be former MiLB teams will go the indie route, but at their own risk.

I support contraction, but with some reservations. The 42 teams that are speculated to be thinned out mostly play in towns and regions where the team is a reasonable, but flawed source of revenue. Creating a more satisfactory stadium experience, regardless of how necessary or extraneous it might be, could be too much for some teams and prove to be the X factor. It will also potentially alienate more fans from what some still consider the national pastime.

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